Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 24.292595 28.844671 34.525775 42.336555 53.142465 68.154784 91.812050
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.289228 24.520808 31.826992 43.396464 62.677902 97.014838 174.933866
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.832566 20.893369 28.426289 41.426387 65.964376 118.771739 287.975823
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.919103 18.924958 26.774512 41.359397 72.236694 153.045155 560.125626
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.170970 16.853536 24.438370 39.220943 73.076444 175.849315 987.665037
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.657271 14.919986 21.961737 36.098285 70.155594 184.746992 1538.869506
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.530224 13.467452 20.082345 33.710369 68.072997 195.630738 2686.160673
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.707563 14.155909 22.073229 39.949349 93.470132 399.576666 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.417876 14.005433 22.475911 42.805804 111.781403 702.158457 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.656412 12.941657 20.933892 40.447336 109.133536 785.052088 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.380949 12.718390 21.041735 42.395237 126.388589 1500.071659 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.983658 12.231424 20.533631 42.540834 136.086506 2589.689147 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.578044 11.725390 19.988553 42.671050 147.851814 5977.936599 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.263126 11.363157 19.711137 43.569857 166.623765 40898.454432 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.794497 10.666021 18.601533 41.569371 164.210551 161263.182664 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.493456 10.269165 18.122617 41.499875 176.700718 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.098468 9.660001 17.091663 39.350402 170.431457 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.676179 8.974003 15.829403 36.212524 153.706513 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 5.326027 8.413510 14.821205 33.813424 142.297443 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.485130 8.866535 16.215858 40.082413 221.771592 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.434572 8.893091 16.600146 42.953443 284.782018 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.154987 8.430455 15.720507 40.582904 266.467151 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 5.078172 8.383538 15.884370 42.540749 328.012116 NaN NaN